Updates from February, 2010

  • R+D in Russia: A Dismal State

    Ivan Komarov 10:17 am on February 11, 2010 | View Comments Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Education,

    It seems that every time Russia’s leaders proclaim an “innovative leap forward,” the West publishes fresh statistics indirectly proving that such a leap is impossible. For example, a recent report on the number of patents registered with the U.S. Patent Office over the last five years shows that Denmark has more than twice as many patents than Russia, Sweden has 6.8 times more, and Canada — 20 times more. What’s more, Germany registers more patents in one year than the Soviet Union and Russia combined over the last half century.

    In addition, Russia produces just 2.6 percent of all articles published in international scientific and academic journals, placing it 14th worldwide. It seems that scientific progress is practically at a standstill in Russia, while in leading industrial countries science is taking giant strides forward.

    Why is Russia falling so far behind? The standard explanation is inadequate funding. Russia’s 2009 budget for research and development was less than 170 billion rubles ($5.45 billion). By comparison, China allocated $136.2 billion. Russia spends only 0.75 percent of its gross domestic product on scientific R&D, while Japan, Israel, Sweden and many other countries spend more than 3 percent of GDP.

    In the rest of the world, scientific achievements are first transformed into manufactured goods before they become a part of the national economy. In no country does the income from the sale of patents and licenses exceed 3.5 percent of total exports. This demonstrates that the driving force for progress is demand from the real sector, which is practically nonexistent in Russia. U.S. companies spend an average of 3.5 percent of their earnings on R&D, and in the European Union that figures averages 3.2 percent. In particular, pharmaceutical companies spend from 13 percent to 16 percent of earnings on R&D, and telecommunications companies — up to 19 percent. In Russia, that indicator does not exceed 0.5 percent, and such national flagship corporations like Gazprom and Rosneft spend no more than a meager 0.17 percent on R&D. Automobile and aircraft manufacturing, shipbuilding and electronics — sectors that drive scientific and technological progress in other countries — are weak in Russia.

    The second important factor is the overall deterioration of the country’s education system — not only in the sense that it is underfunded, but also in its loss of prestige. Throughout the 1990s and 2000s, Russia experienced a major brain drain to other countries. At the same time, there has been a sharp rise in the number of university students, while the number of professors has declined. To make matters worse, it is quite easy to simply purchase a “candidate” degree (something roughly between a master’s degree and a Ph.D. in the West) and even a Ph.D. in Russia without actually studying or writing the required dissertations. There are enough artificial holders of these degrees that their overall value has dropped markedly — even for those who earned them honestly.

    The third major factor is the closed and fragmented nature of the country’s scientific community. Among member states of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, 22 percent of all scientific articles published are written by an international team of authors. In Russia, that number is less than 1 percent. Foreign professors account for 11 percent to 43 percent of teaching staffs at EU universities and about 9 percent in the United States. In Russia, the number is statistically insignificant. The quality of Russia’s scientific journals is rapidly declining. In Holland, natural science journals have a readership 40 times larger than Russia’s.

    Can Russia ever become innovative? Highly unlikely. The government has made superficial attempts to build an “innovation economy” by throwing money at ventures like Rusnano, but little is being done to develop innovation from the bottom up. Moreover, the government is spending much more money on supporting the raw materials sector. This is a clear indication that the state is more interested in maintaining the status quo than developing innovation.

    Vladislav Inozemtsev is a professor of economics, director of the Moscow-based Center for Post-Industrial Studies and editor-in-chief of Svobodnaya Mysl.

     
  • Why recession is a great time to invest in mobile

    Ivan Komarov 5:12 pm on August 31, 2009 | View Comments Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Mobile Trends

    From mobiThinking

    1) Mobile subscribers are growing rapidly. There will be 5.8 billion mobile subscribers worldwide by 2013 (Portio Research). No other media channel offers anything like this reach.
    2) Handset figures show strong growth in smartphone sales (Gartner), which will be 29 percent of all cell phones by 2014 (Ovum). This means a richer mobile Web experience for mobile users.
    3) More and more phones now support 3G and even faster networks based on High Speed Packet Access (HSPA) (IE Market Research). That means faster downloads.
    4) Meanwhile 60 percent of the world’s population is now covered by a next-generation High Speed Packet Access mobile network (3G Americas). That means better access to high-speed downloads.
    5) Mobile data is expected to balloon: a) revenue-wise, analysts expect data to be bigger than voice by 2011 (Pyramid Research); b) volume-wise, as mobile Internet users will be sending and receiving more data in one month than in the whole of 2008 (ABI Research).
    6) No matter how bad the world recession becomes, mobile services revenue e.g. those useful value-added services offered to customers by operators, will continue to increase (ABI Research).
    7) As the mobile Web matures, so brand expenditure on mobile advertising is predicted to be bigger than spending on SMS marketing in 2009, then will quadruple by 2014 (Juniper Research).

    Which all ties in quite nicely with mobiThinking’s recent blog: Why recession is a great time to invest in mobile.

     
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Это сообщение подтверждает мое право собственности на данный сайт, а также то, что данный сайт соответствует Правилам программы AsSense и Общим положениям и условиям